But even Fox had Hillary up 48-41 a month ago. What changed? Nate Silver himself sort of tries to explain it away by pointing out that Trump may have gotten a bump from wrapping up the nomination. But since when has any candidate’s wrapping up of the nomination come with such hysterical negativity as has greeted Trump’s win?
Here’s how Fox breaks down the new poll, which now has Trump up 45-42:
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