Helmut Norpoth, an election forecaster and political science professor at Stony Brook University, told Fox News’ Laura Ingraham on Friday that President Donald Trump will most likely win re-election based on what he calls his “Primary Model.”
And Norpoth predicted not just a win, but a landslide victory over presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden.
The model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of being re-elected and also predicts he will earn 362 electoral votes.
Some recent GOP victories seem to reinforce his predictions.
On May 12, Republicans won two special elections. Tom Tiffany won his race to represent Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District in Congress, while Mike Garcia flipped a Democratic seat in California’s 25th District.
“OK, the key to the November election is the primaries. And the early primaries are already giving us a lot of information,” Norpoth said on “The Ingraham Angle.”
“And based on that, Donald Trump won them very easily in his party. Joe Biden, the likely nominee for the Democrats, had a great deal of trouble holding it together. But on balance, it’s that stronger performance in primaries that gives Donald Trump the...
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1 comment:
If you're watching the MSM and believe their numbers, then you are drinking their toilet water.
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