90 Miles From Tyranny

Friday, July 10, 2020

Professor who successfully predicts elections says 91% chance Trump wins

Stony Brook University, a very fine university, employs a political science professor named Helmut Norpoth who has an amazing track record successfully predicting the winner of presidential races.

He was correct in 25 of 27 races.

Dr. Norpoth came up with software to make the predictions and he says “the Primary Model gives Trump a 91% chance of winning in November. This model has picked the winner in all but two elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced, including, of course, Trump’s victory in 2016,” Mr. Norpoth tells Inside the Beltway in a statement.

On March 7, 2016, it predicted then-candidate Donald Trump had an 87% chance of defeating Hillary Clinton. Will the president also vanquish Democratic nominee Joseph R. Biden?

“As for polls showing Trump trailing Joe Biden right now, remember 2016. Polls and poll-based forecasts all handed Clinton a certain victory.” he said.

He was only wrong on a couple of occasions. One was the 1960 Nixon-Kennedy race. Nixon actually won that race but there was corruption in Illinois that put Kennedy over the top. Kennedy’s father bragged that he bought the votes in Illinois.

The prediction was wrong with President George W. Bush’s election in 2000. In 2000, Bush won a majority of...

In the Joe Biden-Bernie Sanders “Unity” platform, Democrats are vowing to provide free, American taxpayer-funded health care to illegal aliens who are able to enroll in former President Obama’s Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program.

The proposed Democrat Party platform, known as the Biden-Sanders Unity Task Force Recommendations, would restart the DACA program — allowing millions of illegal aliens to enroll — and ensure they are provided with taxpayer-subsidized Obamacare plans.

The platform also would allow all 11 to 22 million illegal aliens living in the U.S. to purchase healthcare coverage in the federal marketplace and more quickly allow low-income legal immigrants to get on Medicaid.

“To ensure that people living and working across the country have health care access, the Task Force recommends extending Affordable Care Act coverage to DACA recipients, allowing undocumented immigrants to purchase unsubsidized coverage in the ACA marketplaces, and working with Congress to lift the five-year waiting period for low-income lawfully present immigrants for Medicaid and Children’s Health Insurance Program eligibility,” the platform states.

Providing health care to illegal aliens has become a widely supported plan among elected Democrats, while the overwhelming majority of Americans oppose it. A Wall Street Journal/NBC News survey from 2019 found that the plan is the “least popular” initiative by Democrats.

As Breitbart News has reported, forcing American taxpayers to provide free health care to all illegal aliens would cost citizens anywhere between $23 billion to $66 billion every single year — a potentially up to $660 billion bill for taxpayers every decade.

Already, American taxpayers are forced to annually subsidize about $18.5 billion in medical costs for illegal aliens, according to estimates by Chris Conover, formerly of the Center for Health Policy and Inequalities Research at Duke University.

The free health care for DACA illegal aliens provision is just one of many major changes to the nation’s immigration system. Others include providing asylum to the world’s migrants, amnesty for all illegal aliens, increasing refugee resettlement, restarting welfare-dependent legal immigration, and ending...