Klotzbach-Gray: Only three hurricanes forecast in 2014

It's a small one..

The 2014 Atlantic hurricane season could prove the recent very political National Climate Assessment to be as wrong as exchanging freedom for big government, which is what the climate assessment is all about, increasing the size of government and limiting individual liberties.

Phil Klotzbach and William Gray released their outlook Thursday, calling for nine named storms, including three hurricanes, one intense. That's far below the average of 12 named storms, including six hurricanes, three major.

The two renowned climatologists say they expect El Niño, the large-scale weather pattern that suppresses storm formation, to emerge by the heart of the season in August. They also note the tropical Atlantic has cooled in the past few months.

"El Niño is coming," Klotzbach said. "It has the potential to be a strong one, too."

Although the Atlantic basin remains in an era of heightened tropical intensity, another forecast team concurs it should be a tame season. London-based Tropical Storm Risk calls for 12 named storms, including five hurricanes.

However, April outlooks can be far off. Several climatologists predicted 2013 would be highly active but there were only two Category 1 hurricanes and neither hit the U.S. coastline.

As part of their subdued forecast, Klotzbach and Gray predict a 35 percent chance that a hurricane will strike Florida, compared with the long-term average of 51 percent. The state has gone a record eight seasons without a hurricane hit.



from: I forget where, but omg everyone uses the same exact text.