But will ultimately lose when mail in ballots are counted.
Pro-Biden analytics firm Hawkfish says that it’s likely President Trump will appear to have won in a landslide on election night but may lose after mail in ballots are counted, which “will take days if not weeks to tally.”
“Way more Democrats will vote by mail than Republicans, due to fears of the coronavirus, and it will take days if not weeks to tally these,” reports Axios. “This means Trump, thanks to Republicans doing almost all of their voting in person, could hold big electoral college and popular vote leads on election night.”
Hawkfish CEO Josh Mendelsohn said a scenario could unfold where Trump holds a commanding 408-130 electoral vote on election night if only 15% of mail in ballots are counted.
Once all of the ballots are counted, the model predicts Biden “as ultimately winning a massive victory, 334-204.”
“When every legitimate vote is tallied and we get to that final day, which will be some day after Election Day, it will in fact show that what happened on election night was exactly that, a mirage,” Mendelsohn said. “It looked like Donald Trump was in the lead and he fundamentally was not when every ballot gets counted.”
Hawkfish said it was trying to “educate” the public about the threat of Trump declaring an early victory and seeking to delegitimize a Biden victory while alerting the news media and the courts to the “perils of premature results.”
Such language is somewhat ironic given that many Republicans will see this very report as an effort to subvert and delegitimize a Trump victory.
The report triggered numerous responses on Twitter that claimed Democrats were preparing to cheat by waiting to see how many votes they needed to...