90 Miles From Tyranny

Sunday, September 19, 2021

The Manchurian, You Know The Thing...

The Current Administration Seems To Be Participating In The Ineptitude Olympics...

#sowell

More Sowell:

Thomas Sowell Ain't Having None Of This Marxist Manipulation...

The Left Now Celebrates One Of The Seven Deadly Sins....

On The Left's Political Bankruptcy...

What Is Your "Fair Share" Of What Someone Else Has Worked For?

We Have Reached The Ultimate State Of Absurdity...

Sowell On Being Both Pathetic And Dangerous At The Same Time....

Sowell On Sins Of The Father...

I Would Love to See These Two Debate Economics..

The vaccinated superspread hypothesis

assessing the riddle of more recovered, more vaccinated, and more dying despite a lower CFR variant

there has been a strange riddle in the covid data of late.

we have a lower CFR variant of the disease that has become predominant. delta has roughly 1/3 the case fatality rate of prior variants (like alpha)

far more people have acquired immunity from having had and recovered from covid. this immunity is long lasting and extremely effective. (much more so than vaccines)

high risk cohorts were significantly reduced last year. there is less “dry tinder” now.

we have FAR more people vaccinated now. it’s 50-90% in many places and in many high risk groups. last year it was zero.

and yet in many of the high vaccine uptake places, we’re seeing deaths from covid (and excess mortality) rise to levels ABOVE last year.

this has led many to posit that vaccines not only don’t work, but that they make you worse.

but on an individual level, this does not appear to be true. (though there is quite a lot of evidence that vaccines induce higher risk in the two weeks post administration and that this is being accounted for dishonestly, added to the “unvaccinated” butcher’s bill, and artificially enhancing reported VE.

BUT, even if we control for this, vaccines are showing efficacy in preventing deaths among the vaccinated. it’s more like 50% than the 90%+ being claimed, but VE against death in the 50%’s should still be showing BIG community effects with so many people in the high risk groups vaccinated.

but, on a societal level, it’s not. we’re seeing breakouts to new seasonal highs vs last year and epidemics in covid death rapidly following vaccination campaigns. (MORE)

all else equal even without vaccines, we’d expect to see attenuation in covid deaths for the reasons laid out above. instead we see acceleration.

the case rate in covid would need to be 3X last year to drive equivalent deaths and higher than that to show excess. but, it’s nothing like that, especially once you control for testing levels.

this is showing up in excess deaths as well as covid deaths, so the signal looks real.

the data has caused a lot of hand wringing and confusion.

grab a seat, because i have an idea to inject into the debate, i sincerely hope that i am wrong, and i suspect a fair few folks are not going to like hearing it, but it’s the best fit i can find for the data.

so here we go:

the current surge in covid deaths is caused by the vaccinated.

the covid vaccines are extremely leaky and may well accelerate contracting and carrying covid.

they allow for very high viral loads to go unnoticed and generate a new and severe asymptomatic spread vector to where none existed before.

the high viral loads lead to greater contagion. they may lead to greater severity (but this data is iffy and contested)

vaccine campaigns cause superspread events because vaccination leads to a 2 week window of 40-100% more covid risk that then gets counted as “unvaccinated” because the definitions are bad.

this combination makes those vaccinated with one dose or more into superspread bombs.

you get a surge of spread that gets misallocated (and used to inflate VE) and then you get the later breakthrough cases (because the vaccines do not stop infection and just mitigate severity)

these BT cases have massively high VL in often asymptomatic superspreaders that pass on high loading doses to the unvaccinated and greatly worsen the overall pandemic.

this further inflates apparent VE by subjecting the unvaccinated to a more profligate and severe disease vector than they would have been had no vaccination campaign ever been undertaken.

it moves the whole system to a a different valence.

perversely, if the vaccinated comprise a spread vector that accelerates deaths in the unvaccinated, that would make it look like vaccines work.

ouch. (told you you weren’t going to like it)

in the longer run, this would also select for hotter, deadlier strains because that’s what leaky vaccines do. (more HERE) this would really make life worse for everyone....

Did The "Professional" Taliban Give Incompetent Biden Administration Intel That Led To Them Murder-Droning 7 Innocent Children?

Green Britain faces food shortages as energy crisis shuts down factories

Acute food shortages were feared last night after high gas prices forced most of Britain’s commercial production of carbon dioxide to shut down.

Emergency talks were being held between government officials and food producers, retailers and the energy industry with warnings of a “black swan event”, an extremely rare blow with unpredictable consequences.

The closure of two fertilizer plants in northern England and others in Europe has left the food and drink industry facing a shortage of carbon dioxide, which is a byproduct of fertilizer manufacturing. The gas is critical to the production and transport of a range of products, from meat to bread, beer and fizzy drinks.

The meat industry estimates that businesses can carry on for less than two weeks before carbon dioxide stocks run out….

One head of a British chain called it a “black swan type of event” and warned that the ripple effect on the agricultural industry was only starting to be appreciated by the government and other supermarkets. “They have been caught out by this and only starting to grasp the level of the problem,” they added...

Looks Like We Will Need More Ammo. Buy More HERE

THE STATES WITH THE MOST (AND LEAST) DEBT - Result: States With Strong Republican Leadership Have The Least Debt.

State debts have steadily increased over the years.

State governments have many expenses, including education, infrastructure, healthcare, welfare, and other obligations. When revenue fails to meet the budget, debt is incurred to keep the state running.

However, not all states are as equally burdened by debt than others. Some states have invested heavily in social programs. Others have cut taxes without increasing revenue. Yet, some states have

We evaluated the data to find the states with the most debt for their population size:

Here are the 10 states with the most state debt per capita
Massachusetts
Connecticut
Rhode Island
Alaska
New Jersey
New York
Hawaii
New Hampshire
Vermont
Illinois

Massachusetts comes in 1st with $11,171 in state debt per capita, being the most indebted state government for population size.

While California has the largest size debt (no surprise with their hefty population size) and if often used as a model of too much debt, it only works out to $3,867 per person- only $62 more than North Dakota.

Here are the 10 states with the least state debt per capita

Tennessee
Nebraska
Nevada
Georgia
Florida
Wyoming
North Carolina
Arkansas
Texas
Alabama

Southern states with relatively few social programs (including weak unemployment benefits) dominate the top 10. All 10 of the above states have under $2k in debt per capita.

Check Out The Full List, All 50 States Ranked From Most Debt Per Person To Least

Rank	State	Debt Per Capita
1.	Massachusetts	$11,171
2.	Connecticut	$10,882
3.	Rhode Island	$8,401
4.	Alaska	$8,065
5.	New Jersey	$7,419
6.	New York	$7,155
7.	Hawaii	$6,850
8.	New Hampshire	$5,662
9.	Vermont	$5,609
10.	Illinois	$4,876
11.	Delaware	$4,723
12.	Maryland	$4,631
13.	Washington	$4,386
14.	West Virginia	$4,184
15.	Wisconsin	$4,001
16.	South Dakota	$3,956
17.	Louisiana	$3,893
18.	California	$3,867
19.	North Dakota	$3,805
20.	Pennsylvania	$,3710
21.	Maine	$3,570
22.	New Mexico	$3,386
23.	Michigan	$3,354
24.	Virginia	$3,256
25.	Indiana	$3,238
26.	Kentucky	$3,223
27.	South Carolina	$3,049
28.	Oregon	$3,011
29.	Missouri	$2,997
30.	Colorado	$2,952
31.	Minnesota	$2,907
32.	Ohio	$2,865
33.	Montana	$2,619
34.	Kansas	$2,574
35.	Mississippi	$2,520
36.	Utah	$2,339
37.	Oklahoma	$2,148
38.	Arizona	$1,964
39.	Iowa	$1,933
40.	Idaho	$1,902
41.	Alabama	$1,794
42.	Texas	$1,758
43.	Arkansas	$1,590
44.	North Carolina	$1,554
45.	Wyoming	$1,382
46.	Florida	$1,340
47.	Georgia	$1,233
48.	Nevada	$,1038
49.	Nebraska	$1,033
50.	Tennessee	$893

HOW WE DETERMINED THE STATES WITH THE MOST DEBT

This one was fairly simple. We used data on each state’s debt in billions from WorldAtlas, which uses data from 2017. This looks at government debt– not personal debt such as home loans or credit card debt.

From there, we simply compared the debt to the 2017 population numbers in the ACS Census. The higher the debt per capita, the more indebted the state.

SUMMARY ON THE 10 STATES WITH THE MOST DEBT

There you have it, the 10 states with the most debt. From Massachusetts to Illinois, these states have a higher amount of debt per person than most states. These states tend to have more social support structures in place.

Similarly, the states with the least debt are overwhelmingly in the south and offer fewer or weaker social supports.

There are a few takeaways to keep in mind. These numbers are not adjusted to reflect cost of living. Cost of living can vary dramatically from state-to-state and even within a state itself. Just look at the average home price in Tennessee and Massachusetts.

Another factor to take into consideration is that these numbers are from 2017 and do not reflect the Covid pandemic or the impact of policy changes in the past few years...

Despite reports of potential violence and beefed up security, including the National Guard and fencing, Saturday’s “Justice for J6” rally attracted a few hundred demonstrators and ended without major incidence.

Photos and video taken around the Capitol show media and police, many heavily armed and in riot gear, vastly outnumbered protesters, who were gathered in support of defendants detained in connection with the January 6 Capitol attack.

Police in riot gear stand in front of the U.S. Capitol during the ‘Justice for J6’ rally in support of those charged in the January 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol on September 18, 2021 in Washington, DC.

The event began with prayer, the Pledge of Allegiance, and the national anthem.

“We condemn all violence, political violence,” said Matt Braynard, founder of Look Ahead America and organizer of the rally. “I’m demanding that you all are respectful and obedient to police officers today. In fact, I’d like to start off — can we please have a round of applause to the main police officers?”

Then a string of speakers spoke for about 90 minutes and condemned anyone who committed violent acts on January 6, 2021, and called for justice for dozens of people who were arrested in the wake of the riot, many of whom, they said, did not commit violent acts but remain behind bars months later.

“[This is] not about President Trump,” Braynard said. “It’s not about President Biden. It’s not about the election. It’s not about what you think happened with the election.”

“This is about justice and disparate treatment and equal treatment under the law.”

In a video ahead of the rally, Braynard told people who wanted to attend not to wear shirts with any political message or disparaging signage.

Braynard pointed out that violent protests on the left, from Antifa in Portland, Oregon, to those who stormed congressional office buildings to protest then-Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, were never prosecuted. These protesters, he said, were bailed out on the same day they were arrested.

This is in contrast to what Braynard and other speakers said is the treatment of people now jailed in D.C. related to the Capitol attack, some of whom have been allegedly kept in solitary confinement, and others reportedly not allowed to shave or cut their hair.

Demonstrators gather for the “Justice for J6” rally in Washington, DC, on September 18, 2021. (ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images)

Those in attendance called for transparency and the release of more than a dozen hours of video from January 6 still unseen by the public.

“Release the video!” the crowd chanted. “Equal justice or no justice!”

“We’re gonna raise our voices in defense of our fellow Americans who’ve had their rights and due process violated,” said Braynard, who called these individuals “political prisoners.”

“We’re gonna raise our voices, demanding justice for Ashli Babbitt and for...