90 Miles From Tyranny : The vaccinated superspread hypothesis

Sunday, September 19, 2021

The vaccinated superspread hypothesis

assessing the riddle of more recovered, more vaccinated, and more dying despite a lower CFR variant

there has been a strange riddle in the covid data of late.

we have a lower CFR variant of the disease that has become predominant. delta has roughly 1/3 the case fatality rate of prior variants (like alpha)

far more people have acquired immunity from having had and recovered from covid. this immunity is long lasting and extremely effective. (much more so than vaccines)

high risk cohorts were significantly reduced last year. there is less “dry tinder” now.

we have FAR more people vaccinated now. it’s 50-90% in many places and in many high risk groups. last year it was zero.

and yet in many of the high vaccine uptake places, we’re seeing deaths from covid (and excess mortality) rise to levels ABOVE last year.

this has led many to posit that vaccines not only don’t work, but that they make you worse.

but on an individual level, this does not appear to be true. (though there is quite a lot of evidence that vaccines induce higher risk in the two weeks post administration and that this is being accounted for dishonestly, added to the “unvaccinated” butcher’s bill, and artificially enhancing reported VE.

BUT, even if we control for this, vaccines are showing efficacy in preventing deaths among the vaccinated. it’s more like 50% than the 90%+ being claimed, but VE against death in the 50%’s should still be showing BIG community effects with so many people in the high risk groups vaccinated.

but, on a societal level, it’s not. we’re seeing breakouts to new seasonal highs vs last year and epidemics in covid death rapidly following vaccination campaigns. (MORE)

all else equal even without vaccines, we’d expect to see attenuation in covid deaths for the reasons laid out above. instead we see acceleration.

the case rate in covid would need to be 3X last year to drive equivalent deaths and higher than that to show excess. but, it’s nothing like that, especially once you control for testing levels.

this is showing up in excess deaths as well as covid deaths, so the signal looks real.

the data has caused a lot of hand wringing and confusion.

grab a seat, because i have an idea to inject into the debate, i sincerely hope that i am wrong, and i suspect a fair few folks are not going to like hearing it, but it’s the best fit i can find for the data.

so here we go:

the current surge in covid deaths is caused by the vaccinated.

the covid vaccines are extremely leaky and may well accelerate contracting and carrying covid.

they allow for very high viral loads to go unnoticed and generate a new and severe asymptomatic spread vector to where none existed before.

the high viral loads lead to greater contagion. they may lead to greater severity (but this data is iffy and contested)

vaccine campaigns cause superspread events because vaccination leads to a 2 week window of 40-100% more covid risk that then gets counted as “unvaccinated” because the definitions are bad.

this combination makes those vaccinated with one dose or more into superspread bombs.

you get a surge of spread that gets misallocated (and used to inflate VE) and then you get the later breakthrough cases (because the vaccines do not stop infection and just mitigate severity)

these BT cases have massively high VL in often asymptomatic superspreaders that pass on high loading doses to the unvaccinated and greatly worsen the overall pandemic.

this further inflates apparent VE by subjecting the unvaccinated to a more profligate and severe disease vector than they would have been had no vaccination campaign ever been undertaken.

it moves the whole system to a a different valence.

perversely, if the vaccinated comprise a spread vector that accelerates deaths in the unvaccinated, that would make it look like vaccines work.

ouch. (told you you weren’t going to like it)

in the longer run, this would also select for hotter, deadlier strains because that’s what leaky vaccines do. (more HERE) this would really make life worse for everyone....

Read More HERE


  1. Good Lord, go buy a keyboard with a working 'Shift' key. This was like reading a first graders note to grandma.

  2. Why China is getting a pass from the Senate and House for killing 600,000 plus Americans is a rock solid reason to hang every one of those ffiiing politicians and media people. They are still trying to push Russia as the "Big Threat" while protecting the Chinese from repercussions. Think about it, since the 2020 political cycle it is Russia Russia Russia while China is getting away with killing a huge amount of your fellow Americans and getting a complete pass from the House and Senate. You are expendable, the Chinese are not.

  3. Another long comment in progress eaten by your blog. I'll try again. Look, protect yourself. It's all you can do. If doing that protects others, even better. This damn virus starts out in your nose and mouth, then spreads down your throat, and then into your lungs. Kill it early and you won't catch it or spread it. The Delta breeds fast, so start a simple prophylaxis now before you catch it.

    Go learn about PVP-I, povidone iodine. 1% oral rinse in distilled water, 0.5% nasal mist in saline. Kills the virus in seconds, provides 4 hours protection. Buy the 10% topical solution, a 5ml oral syringe, and a couple of quality 30ml nasal spray pump bottles from Amazon. 1.5ml of the 10% PVP in 13.5ml of water, gargle and rinse for 30 seconds. 1.5ml of it in 28.5ml saline in the sprayer, use 2-3 spritzes in each nostril, wait 2 min, blow, do another spritz. Both together will destroy the virus in your nose for about 4 hours, so do this every time you come home, at breakfast and before bed, and at lunch if you're in the office.

    And take your vitamins and supplements every day. D3, C, magnesium, zinc, K, all the Bs, cuercetin, curcumin, NAC, boswellia, pro-biotics and a good multivitamin.


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