CNN is sounding the alarm for the Democrats, warning in a piece on Tuesday that former Vice President Joe Biden is underperforming while President Donald Trump is over-performing with black voters.
“Joe Biden’s advantage over Trump with Black voters is currently smaller than Hillary Clinton’s was,” read the headline on Tuesday from CNN’s Harry Enten.
The opening paragraphs of Enten’s article note that despite Black Lives Matter (BLM) protests nationwide since the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis, the incumbent GOP president is outperforming expectations against the presumptive Democrat nominee in the black community. Despite a drop for Trump in national polls during the timeframe of the protests, with black voters Trump remains firmly where he was before—and Biden is not gaining any support either.
“The death of George Floyd and subsequent protests reshaped the presidential race. It brought race relations, racism and police brutality to the forefront,” Enten wrote. “In that time, former Vice President Joe Biden’s advantage over President Donald Trump expanded from about six points to closer to 10 points. Interestingly, however, Trump continues to do something perhaps unexpectedly among Black voters: Hold his own against Biden relative to many people’s expectations.”
Enten analyzed at least ten surveys that featured live interviews since the beginning of BLM protests, accounting for more than 1,000 total black voters. What he found was bad for Biden, and good for Trump.
“Biden leads in those polls by an 83% to 8%, or 75-point, margin,” Enten wrote. “That, of course, is a huge advantage for Biden, but it also represents a small improvement for Trump since 2016. Hillary Clinton was ahead of Trump by a 79-point margin among Black registered voters in the pre-election polls taken right before the 2016 election, as compiled by the New York Times’ Nate Cohn. Biden, for what it’s worth, is equaling Clinton’s 83% in those polls. Trump’s picking up a lot of the vote that went to third-party candidates.”
While the percentages on the margins in the black community are very small in the “grand scheme,” Enten notes, this stronger-than-expected performance by Trump with black voters and weaker-than-expected showing from Biden could make a huge difference in a close election.
“Given the way margins of error work (i.e. it gets smaller as the result gets more extreme), this slight improvement for Trump from 2016 is statistically significant,” Enten wrote. “Biden currently has such a...
Read More HERE
2 comments:
If you don't vote Democrat to defund your police and have your life destroyed again by corrupt multi-millionaire Democrats running the plantation you are living in you aint black but are a horse faced pony soldier.
John...that's dog faced pony soldier, you are forgiven.
Post a Comment