For the first time since Donald Trump left office, he has surpassed Joe Biden as the betting favorite to win the 2024 presidential election.
Trump emerged as the favorite Monday at multiple offshore sportsbooks to return to the White House in 2024. On Wednesday, he became the top choice over President Biden at Smarkets, a London-based betting exchange. Trump also is now the favorite at Ladbrokes sportsbook in London.
According to Smarkets, the former president has a 20 percent chance, which equates to odds of 4-1, of winning the 2024 election after having fallen as low as 3 percent, or 32-1, in the wake of the U.S. Capitol attack in January.
Biden’s odds dropped to 19 percent (+426), and Vice President Kamala Harris’ odds dropped to 13 percent (+669).
“It’s a pretty staggering development to find a defeated one-term president taking over as favorite from the incumbent who beat him, but we know by now that Donald Trump is no ordinary politician,” Smarkets head of political markets Matthew Shaddick said. “It’s early days, but the latest market signals suggest there is every chance we could be heading for a Biden vs. Trump rematch in 2024 with Trump currently having a very slight edge, according to the betting.”
At Ladbrokes, Trump is a +350 favorite over Biden (4-1) and Harris (5-1).
All betting odds can be converted into an implied chance, or percentage, of something happening, and that is how Smarkets presents its odds.
Trump is the heavy favorite at Smarkets to be the 2024 Republican nominee with a 45 percent chance (+122).
“Trump’s odds have been improving all year and in particular since Biden’s poll ratings began declining this summer,” Shaddick said. “There is absolutely no sign of Republican voters deserting him, and he leads every...
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7 comments:
Are you kidding me? They gonna fire up the fraud/steal no matter who running but particularly if Trump is. Unless between now and then somebodies grow a set a do something about this crap. They ain't gonna let it go now. As the crone says, "we've come too far."
They cheated last time but are going to play it straight this time? Vote harder!!!
“It’s early days, but the latest market signals suggest there is every chance we could be heading for a Biden vs. Trump rematch in 2024 with Trump currently having a very slight edge, according to the betting.”
Are these guys psycho? Biden is going to be a drooling idiot by the end of 2022. Too much Adderall poisoning is accelerating his dementia.
It's all over but the shouting, you morons.
We nailed this last election theft, Mike! We nailed it. LOL.
Who cares? All this assumes elections sans fraud which is risible.
Even if he somehow he does win , a lot of the COVID 19 mess lies right on his doorstep , Fauchi was his guy, the response was his doing. The mess is in a big way his fault.
He's done some good, a lot of good exposing the rot , some efforts to bring jobs back but the man was woefully under qualified and honestly getting too old.
Doesn't mean I won't vote for him over any Democrat but we need clean elections and better candidates and if we can't get at least the first of those? We all know what needs to happen.
It'll never happen. Democrat fraud.....Republican small balls.
It comes down to who counts the votes.
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